Are we doomed yet?

The trajectory of Asteroid 2024 YR4 passes from South America to Asia, crossing central Africa (Starwalk/Screenshot)

There’s an asteroid called 2024 YR4 that might hit earth some time in 2032.

The odds of the event are frequently changing though. So if you don’t want to have to follow the news-cycle about it, you can see the odds by visiting arewedoomedyet.org.

Via Matt Webb, who has a very good summary on the asteroid.


Something I learnt from the 2024 YR4 Wikipedia page is that asteroids have an ‘eccentricity’ rating. This one is 0.6616 eccentric. Whatever that means.


There’s some things that dominate the public psyche during a certain period and define a year/decade. But also are somehow forgotten a few years later. It’s not until someone mentions it that you go “oh yeah, there was lots of talk about 2012 being the end of the world. I forgot about that.” I suspect this asteroid will be one of those.